AppSense 2010 predictions – Updated: One prediction may already be coming true.

January 22, 2010

*** Update 3rd Feb ’10::  It would appear prediction #9 may already be coming into play.  Please see #9 for more info. ***

At the end of last year I made some predictions for how I think desktop virtualization will develop in 2010. People who have listened to Brian Madden TV’s prediction show ( http://www.brianmadden.com/blogs/tv/archive/2010/01/22/brian-madden-tv-27-2010-trends-and-predictions.aspx) will have heard references to some of them and I think the time is right to share the whole list with our broader readership. I am interested in your thoughts too, feel free to comment whether you agree or disagree.

Martin Ingram

1. The Proof Year for Hosted Virtual Desktops

From talking to our numerous customers and partners around the world, we see there is now general acceptance that the componentized desktop model is the way to go, and there is a good understanding of the sorts of benefits we will see.  We believe 2010 will see a distinct move to non-persistent, component-based desktops in large enterprises as challenges such as how to manage the user experience in a standardized desktop environment are solved by software providers.  We see more and more enterprises moving from PoC to full implementation.  As they say ‘the proof of the pudding is in the eating’ and 2010 will be the proof year for hosted virtual desktops.

2. DV implementations will move from PoC to full implementations (the first >20K seat implementation will occur in 2010)

With over 4000 customers around the world, we are seeing many of our PoC implementations start to convert to full roll outs.  This is important because it means the business case for virtualized client computing is being proven by delivering independent, quantifiable, benefits.  As with any new technology, it is only at this stage that it becomes easy for the majority of organizations to make decisions on future technologies.  We believe that the first 20,000+ seat implementation of a virtualized desktop will go live in 2010.

3. Client Virtualization starts to take off

The principal area of innovation in 2010 will be client virtualization, specifically virtualization of laptops. Client hypervisors from Citrix and VMware will ship and join those from Neocleus and Virtual Computer. These products support very different management models and the big debate of the year is going to be ‘how do we actually want to manage users on virtualized clients?’.  The hypervisor itself is only a small part of a client virtualization solution and most of the benefits come from changes to how we manage the platform rather than the introduction of the hypervisor itself. The model that will be ultimately successful will be based on componentization, similar in many ways to the model that is being implemented now in hosted desktop virtualization, but with some modifications. The modifications will be necessary to take account of the basic difference between a mobile device such as a laptop and a server in the data center – intermittent network connectivity. Key to success will be to preserve the essential features of componentization such as getting economies of scale across software components and delivery of the user environment in this more challenging platform. There are several techniques that are good candidates for this and we will see active debate throughout the year on their pros and cons. Given the proportion of laptops in business today and the imperative to get to a single management methodology across both hosted and roaming users, this will be an important and lively discussion. One of the outcomes will be the importance of choosing a user environment management solution that delivers across all of the platforms in use in the business be they hosted or client, virtualized or traditional.

4. The first commercially viable UIA solution

Since we believe that the non-persistent, component-based desktop model will be the prevalent virtual desktop model in 2010, we also believe that the emergence of a commercially viable solution to manage users ‘personal’ applications will happen in 2010.  By standardizing the corporate desktop and separating it into its constituent parts, (corporate OS, corporate apps and user), the problem with non-corporate user apps remains.  User-installed applications in a non-persistent desktop model is a real challenge and cannot be solved easily.  The inevitable adoption of the non-persistent desktop model will bring a solution to market in 2010.

5. DaaS will begin the move to a more economical non-persistent, standardized desktop model

DaaS solutions out there today are based on a 1:1 user to desktop model.  Although many organizations benefit from subscription-based desktop management, the costs associated with managing and storing many unique desktop images will inhibit the adoption of this model.  By moving to a standardized desktop and separate user personality, significant economies of scale will be realized and DaaS will become a reality for more organizations.

6. Cloud Computing will show little progress in client computing (DaaS being just the first step and the only area of activity)

The Cloud Computing model for client computing will take several years to progress to a mainstream solution, depending primarily on Cloud Orchestration standards and high availability bandwidth.  We do believe, however, that the advent of non-persistent desktops in the newly-emerging DaaS model will begin the move of Cloud from theoretical hype to serious business case consideration. However DaaS is only part of the Cloud model of client computing and there is still plenty that needs doing to enable integration of services across multiple service providers

7. BYOPC morphs into HAPC

While the concept of BYOPC is attractive, in reality, this model is unlikely to be widely adopted by employees.  Support and warranty issues will cause unnecessary headaches for users and many will inevitably contact their own company support desk for assistance anyway.  What is more likely is the use of desktop virtualization in HAPC (Home Access PC).  Employees will be more likely to use their static home PC for work use out of hours and keep their work PC at the office.  A non-persistent virtual desktop model works well in this scenario, as long as the employee has a predictable and personal experience across both devices. These users will be served by either hosted solutions(SBC/HVD) or local execution, the ‘new thing’ here is local execution.

8. Desktop component delivery commoditizes

As non-persistent corporate desktop images become the norm, the standardization and automation of the delivery of these assets will become less valuable and the updating of the source image and the management of the user’s individual environment will increase in value.  Platform providers will deliver efficient means of delivering desktops and corporate applications from a standardized source image, with the management of these source images becoming the value-add in the mid-term.

Longer term, image management will move to become a service that is provided by software vendors and will be part of our contracts with the vendors. Configuration and personalization of applications will remain inside the business because so much of the information involved is business and user specific. This becomes a major direction for user environment management.

9. We reach a decision point on the mobile platform for client computing – virtualization or a de-facto standard. – Updated

Currently there are few corporate applications available to run on phone platforms. In part this is a result of the platform variance that has existed to date which would have required an application developer to support each platform separately. For a number of years vendors have been working on hypervisors for mobile devices that would allow a single common view across all the devices. VMware bought Trango a year or so back and investment was rife. This year we will either see virtualization get adopted for mobile platforms or a single platform adopted instead. If not virtualization what would the platform be? Android is too new, Microsoft suffers from platform variance perhaps leaving Apple or RIM to become the de facto standard for mobile devices – there is a sizable chance of Apple ousting Microsoft because of a lack of consistency in the Microsoft platform. Whoever moves to take this position will have to find a better, more business focused, way of selling applications than AppStores.

*** Update 3rd Feb ’10: It would appear this may be coming true with the recent new of Citrix and OK Labs, please see my latest blog post on this matter here ***

10.  Stand-alone application virtualization ISVs will find 2010 a real business challenge

Application virtualization is an increasing important component in desktop virtualization, and this will continue through 2010 and beyond.  Such is the importance of this mechanism, that we expect smaller, independent ISVs specializing in this area to become either swallowed up by the platform vendors (like Softricity and Thinstall) or find new directions.




AppSense Environment Manager Testimonials Overview Document

January 19, 2010

In light of all the recent coverage of AppSense Environment Manager -  from case studies and analyst reports to winning awards and press releases, I thought it best to consolidate some of the highlights into a single, high level over view document..

This is a great resource for our dedicated Channel Partners, Press and Analysts, End Users and fellow Bloggers..

It is available in PDF format on the official AppSense.com website and can be found via this direct link




You Know Where The Door is – Use It!.. But Do You Have To?

January 17, 2010

Yes. Something that has happened  several times before has happened again this week.

A Reseller/Solution Provider implements a Citrix/Terminal Services/VDI/Streamed Application solution for an end user client.  The end user  has since received a Software Asset Management review, and at the end of it, the client receives a big un-budgetted invoice from Software Vendor XYZ because their Citrix/Terminal Services/VDI/Streamed Application solution does not enforce a ‘Per Device’ based application access control and licensing model.  As a result, the end user client gets upset and in the case this week, the Reseller/Solution Provider was shown the door and lost the Client.

As mentioned, I have seen this many times before, and I must sound like a broken record to my reseller techies, but this scenario keeps happening and can be avoided!

Now, before you blame it all on one particular application vendor, just remember that MOST if not ALL of your typical Software Vendors have a DEVICE based model for licensing, not user based.  It’s pretty simple, if a device can potentially access the application (regardless of where the actual code executes, or, even if it executes or not) that device needs a licence.  Even if you try and block access to the application at the user level with GPO’s, SRP’s or white and black lists at a user level, this does not comply as the authorized users can still access the application from all devices and so all devices still require a licence.

For example, If I own 50 PC’s and install Application A on each PC I need to buy 50 licenses. I can’t just say I only have one user login, so I only need one license – the world doesn’t work like that.

And “network techniologies” (CTX/TS/VDI/STREAMED APPS) are no different. If I can run the application for any single one of my 400 thin clients, then either I need to buy 400 device licenses of the application, or I need a way of enforcing the number of devices that can execute it.

If you want to see this explained you can can see me white board this on the AppSense YouTube Channel here -> Whiteboarding a per device licence scenario

Now I understand not everyone sees things the same way, but my experience is the Reseller/Solution provider is often the scape goat in these scenarios when it all goes pear-shaped.  So, for the partner to protect their rear end, and be a bit proactive, some of our Aussie Solution Providers highlight this to the end user by sending a short email, not only to the IT Manager who may be running the project, but also to the CFO and CIO who sign the cheques.

This email points out that the Solutions provider is bound by their status with Software Vendor XYZ to inform the client that the solution they are looking to implement does not fulfill the licensing requirements of the Software Vendor they are wanting to use and they may be liable for additional licence fees and even financial penalties in the event of an audit.. if, they do not also include a per device application access control solution as part of their overall SBC or VDI solution.

I was having this discussion in the office this week when, Hey Presto – in jumps AppMan with his  favorite AppSense product Application Manager - he’s a jovial fellow, looking resplendent in his red outfit.  Sure he’s not the tallest guy in the office, he could do with a few visits to the gym (couldn’t we all?) and yes I agree some of his hair has left the building for greener pastures but everyone with a wife and kids has that issue :-)

However, his heart ‘s in the right place.  He wants everyone to be compliant with their software licensing, he doesn’t want to see companies paying out for licences they don’t need, and he only wants to see Trusted/Authorized Applications running on corporate architecture (more info on how AppMan and his solution Application Manager can help with per device software licensing can be found here).

In addition, there’s a side benefit – not only will AppSense Application Manager enforce a per Device licensing model, it’s also one of the most effective security products on the market.  Trusted ownership ensured only software that is installed by a Trusted Owner (typically the IT Team) it’s allowed to run. Any file installed by a user will instantly be blocked.

Effective and bullet proof, that’s AppSense Application Manager. And as I always say when the subject of security comes up, It’s not that the security team at your organisation has done a bad job, it just they don’t know what they don’t know, so how can they protect against something they do not know about, or some piece of code that has only just been written today by someone they dont know of?  On the other hand,  AppSense Application Manager will show you EVERY file users try to execute, so you do now know what is going on.

And maybe, just maybe, if we all work harder at helping our clients, we can all join a Gym, take some measures to stop our hair falling out, avoid any software licensing issues and costs.. and all live happily ever after :-)

For more information on cost reduction in your environment, please visit the cost reduction pages on the AppSense website.


AppSense win TechWorld Best Desktop Software Product of 2009 Video Interview

January 13, 2010

Further to my blog post covering AppSense Environment Manager winning the TechWorld Best Desktop Software Product of the year for 2009, we have since attended the awards ceremony  where Michelle Craven, AppSense Channel Marketing Manager, was interviewed as part of the awards evening.

We have uploaded the video to the AppSense Channel on YouTube and can be viewed here  

This award comes after a great 2009 for AppSense where we achieved record growth and won many other prestigious awards in addition to this one…


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